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Turkish Cypriot leadership race: Erhürman challenges Tatar’s two-state vision

As Turkish Cypriot vote looms, contrasting visions for Cyprus’s future emerge

EUalive with Politis September 3, 2025 07:06

As the Turkish Cypriot leadership election on 19 October approaches, the contest between incumbent leader Ersin Tatar and opposition leader Tufan Erhürman highlights starkly divergent visions for resolving the Cyprus problem and shaping relations with Greek Cypriots.

Erhürman, head of the Republican Turkish Party (CTP), has criticized Tatar’s push for a two-state solution, arguing it jeopardizes Turkish Cypriot rights, while advocating for a federal model based on political equality. With polls indicating a tight race, the outcome could reshape stalled Cyprus reunification talks.

Erhürman’s critique of Tatar’s policy

In a television interview on 1 September, Erhürman rejected Tatar’s call for “sovereign equality” and a two-state solution, warning that it jeopardizes Turkish Cypriot rights across Cyprus.

“At the negotiating table, the leaders of both communities have equal status, but once we leave, one side is the president of a recognized EU and UN member state, while the other leads an unrecognized entity,” he said, highlighting the loss of international legitimacy outside negotiations.

Erhürman argued that a two-state model jeopardizes rights to resources like hydrocarbons, asking, “If hydrocarbons are found in the south, how will a separate northern state claim its share?”

Erhürman advocates for a bizonal, bicommunal federation with two politically equal constituent states, ensuring Turkish Cypriot participation in island-wide decisions. He told the Cyprus News Agency (CNA) that his approach aligns with UN principles: political equality, agreed timetables, acceptance of prior convergences, and guarantees against returning to the status quo if Greek Cypriots abandon talks.

He also emphasized continued consultation with Turkey, a guarantor power, noting that all prior Turkish Cypriot leaders negotiated in tandem with Ankara.

Erhürman criticized Tatar for failing to address human rights issues, such as the exclusion of children from mixed marriages from Republic of Cyprus citizenship, which grants EU status. If elected, he pledged to negotiate with the EU to remove trade barriers via the Green Line, advance the Direct Trade Regulation, and secure direct flights to boost the Turkish Cypriot economy.

Tatar’s defence of a two-state solution

Tatar, leader of the National Unity Party (UBP), defended his two-state vision, blaming Greek Cypriots for obstructing peace talks by rejecting Turkish Cypriot sovereign equality.

“The federal model has been tested repeatedly and has failed,” he stated, advocating for a “results-oriented process based on cooperative relations between two sovereign states.” Tatar’s stance aligns with Turkey’s position, emphasizing recognition of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), recognized only by Ankara since 1983.

A tight electoral race

Former Turkish Cypriot negotiator Kudret Özersay, leader of the People’s Party (HP), described the election as a “two-horse race” between Tatar and Erhürman. A late July 2025 poll showed them neck-and-neck, likely requiring a second round. Independent candidate Mehmet Hasgüler dismissed both federal and two-state models as “illusions,” proposing a return to the Republic of Cyprus as the solution, though his campaign lacks significant traction.

Cyprus reunification talks

The Cyprus problem stems from the island’s 1974 division following a Greek-backed coup and Turkey’s military intervention, leaving Cyprus split between the internationally recognized Republic of Cyprus (Greek Cypriot) and the TRNC (Turkish Cypriot), recognised only by Ankara. Reunification talks, under UN auspices since the 1970s, aim for a bizonal, bicommunal federation but have repeatedly collapsed, most recently in 2017 at Crans-Montana, Switzerland, over disputes on security guarantees and power-sharing.

The UN’s 2004 Annan Plan, rejected by Greek Cypriots in a referendum, remains a key reference. In 2021, Tatar’s shift to a two-state solution, backed by Turkey, diverged from the federal framework, stalling talks. UN envoy María Angela Holguín’s 2025 efforts to restart negotiations have faltered, with Greek Cypriot leader Nikos Christodoulides insisting on resuming from 2017 convergences, while Tatar demands TRNC recognition.

This article was based on reporting by Politis.

File photo: Greek Cypriots protest against a visit of Turkish President Erdogan to Northern Cyprus, outside the divided town of Deryneia, Cyprus, 19 July 2021. Famagusta Municipality organized a demonstration against Erdogan’s visit, a day before the 47th anniversary of the Turkish invasion of the island. EPA/KATIA CHRISTODOULOU

Updated: September 3, 2025 - 07:06

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