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Yerevan’s European summit vs. Moscow’s scaled-back parade: Armenia’s bold pivot from Russia

For a country long anchored in Russia’s orbit, hosting the European Political Community (EPC) forum in the South Caucasus is more than symbolic

Georgi Gotev EUalive May 4, 2026 05:46

As leaders from across Europe converge on Yerevan for the eighth European Political Community (EPC) Summit on Monday, Armenia is staging a high-profile assertion of its westward turn.

Co-chaired by European Council President António Costa and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, the gathering – under the motto “Building the Future: Unity and Stability in Europe” – brings together 48 heads of state and government from the EU’s 27 member states, the UK, Ukraine, Türkiye, Azerbaijan, Georgia, the Western Balkans, and even Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney as the first non-European guest.

Canada, Carney looks to Europe: first participation in the European Political Community summit

The event is immediately followed by the first-ever EU-Armenia bilateral summit on 4-5 May, featuring European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen alongside Pashinyan. For a country long anchored in Russia’s orbit, hosting this forum in the South Caucasus is more than symbolic: it marks a deliberate and accelerating shift away from Moscow’s influence.

The contrast could hardly be starker with events unfolding just days later in Moscow. On 9 May – Victory Day, Russia’s most solemn secular holiday commemorating the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany – the traditional Red Square parade will be strikingly subdued. For the first time in nearly two decades, no tanks, armored vehicles, missiles, or heavy military equipment will roll across the square. Cadets from military academies and youth institutions are also absent. Russian officials cite the “current operational situation” and threats of Ukrainian drone strikes as the reason, with heightened security measures – including anti-drone defences – now the norm around the capital.

Foreign attendance is equally telling. Only a handful of leaders have confirmed participation: Belarus’s Alexander Lukashenko, two leaders of Central Asian countries and Slovakia’s Robert Fico. A smattering of figures from breakaway regions (Abkhazia, South Ossetia) and Bosnia’s Republika Srpska’s Milorad Dodik round out the list – far cry from the dozens who attended in previous years, including high-profile guests like China’s Xi Jinping during the 2025 80th anniversary.

Armenia’s strategic realignment

Armenia’s hosting of the EPC is the latest milestone in a multi-year drift from Russia. Long reliant on Moscow for security through the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) and economic ties via the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), Yerevan felt abandoned when Russia failed to intervene during Azerbaijan’s 2023 offensive that ended Armenian control over Nagorno-Karabakh. Pashinyan publicly called sole dependence on Russia a “strategic mistake.”

Since then, Armenia has frozen its CSTO participation (2024), welcomed an EU civilian monitoring mission on its borders, joined NATO exercises, and signed a landmark Strategic Partnership Charter with the United States. It has begun exploring EU membership pathways – even as Putin explicitly warned in April 2026 that Yerevan cannot remain in both the EU and Russia-led customs structures. Armenian officials have hinted at full withdrawal from CSTO and EAEU if Moscow raises energy prices or pressures further.

The EPC summit amplifies this message. Invitations extended to Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (or their representatives) underscore Yerevan’s push for regional normalization on European terms. Pashinyan has framed the event as a platform to advance “trust, cohesion, and connectivity across Europe,” positioning Armenia as a bridge rather than a Russian outpost.

Russia’s isolated anniversary

Victory Day has long been Putin’s showcase for military might and global relevance. This year’s pared-down format – marching troops, veterans, and perhaps an air flyover – reflects the grinding realities of the ongoing war in Ukraine: equipment losses, manpower strains, and persistent Ukrainian long-range strikes that have forced Russia to pull air defences inward. EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas noted the irony, linking the absence of hardware to Russia’s battlefield setbacks.

The timing – EPC on May 4 followed by Victory Day on May 9 – is almost poetic. Armenia, once Moscow’s reliable partner, is betting on European integration, diversified security partnerships, and normalized ties with neighbours. Russia, meanwhile, is marking its defining historical triumph in a defensive crouch: fewer weapons on display, fewer friends in the stands, and exceptional security to shield the capital from the very conflict it launched.

Caption: Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney [L] meets with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan in Yerevan, Armenia, on the margins of the European Political Community Summit. [X account of Mark Carney]

Updated: May 4, 2026 - 11:49

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