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Is Russia losing its grip on Crimea?

Panic, fuel bans and mass exodus attempts signal deepening crisis

Georgi Gotev EUalive June 22, 2026 06:29

Ukrainian drone strikes have triggered a full-blown fuel crisis in Russian-occupied Crimea, with authorities halting all public gasoline sales and sparking scenes of panic as Russian tourists and residents scramble to leave the peninsula.

In a dramatic escalation, Crimean Governor Sergei Aksyonov announced on Sunday that fuel stations would stop serving civilians and businesses entirely, reserving limited supplies for emergency services and security forces only. The move followed Ukrainian attacks that killed at least four people on the peninsula and one on a nearby ferry, while damaging key supply routes, power lines, and oil infrastructure.

Social media is flooded with videos of long queues at gas stations, sold-out trains, traffic jams on the Crimean Bridge, and frustrated Russians complaining they are trapped. “Why am I here? I want to go back to Moscow!” one tourist shouted in a widely shared clip. Ferry services across the Kerch Strait were suspended, and train schedules collapsed amid the chaos.

Logistics Under SiegeKyiv has intensified its campaign to isolate Crimea, systematically targeting fuel trucks, rail lines, oil depots, and ferries linking the peninsula to mainland Russia. The strikes have created shortages just as the summer holiday season begins, turning what Moscow once called a secure “Russian fortress” into what locals describe as an “island surrounded by war.”

While Russia claims to have downed hundreds of drones overnight, the repeated hits on critical supply arteries show Ukraine’s growing ability to disrupt logistics deep behind Russian lines.

Crimea is not falling militarily yet – Russian forces still control the territory. But the combination of fuel rationing, infrastructure damage, civilian panic, and failed attempts at mass evacuation paints a picture of a region under mounting pressure. Moscow’s hold on its most prized territorial prize since 2014 is looking increasingly fragile.

Russia occupied and illegally annexed Crimea in 2014, and Moscow continues to regard the peninsula as its most important strategic asset in the Black Sea, home to its Black Sea Fleet and a key symbol of territorial expansion. Nevertheless, Russia’s Black Sea Fleet has been largely wiped out or forced to evacuate its main bases following a string of highly effective Ukrainian attacks – an extraordinary outcome achieved by a country that began the war with virtually no navy of its own.

Ukraine is also ramping up pressure on Russia by launching increasingly bold long-range drone strikes on oil refineries deep inside Russian territory, including facilities in the Moscow region, disrupting fuel production and exposing vulnerabilities far from the front lines.

Moscow burns, EU leaders meet, Putin stays put

While this strategy should, in theory, push President Putin toward negotiations to end the costly war, domestic political considerations – above all the need to avoid any appearance of weakness or capitulation – make such a shift highly unlikely in the near future.

Caption:  A handout photo made available by Sevastopol Mayor Mikhail Razvozhaev’s Telegram channel shows firefighters fighting the fire on the roof of the building of the ‘Defense of Sevastopol 1854-1855′ Panorama after a Ukrainian drone attack in Sevastopol, Crimea, 10 June 2026. EPA/SEVASTOPOL MAYOR MIKHAIL RAZVOZHAEV TELEGRAM CHANNEL HANDOUT

Updated: June 22, 2026 - 06:29

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