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EU faces tough balancing act amid U.S. pressure and Greenland’s independence push

The dilemma tests not just Denmark's resolve but Europe's ability to defend principles of sovereignty when strategic interests and internal aspirations collide

EUalive with agencies January 10, 2026 13:51

Denmark finds itself in a precarious position defending Greenland against renewed U.S. interest under President Donald Trump, while the Arctic island steadily advances toward independence – a dynamic that places the European Union in a difficult spot, according to a Reuters analysis published on Saturday.

Reporting by Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen and Stine Jacobsen highlights how Trump’s threats to seize or purchase the mineral-rich territory have triggered European solidarity with Denmark, a NATO ally. Leaders from France, Germany, Britain, Italy, Poland, Spain, and Denmark issued a joint statement affirming that “Greenland belongs to its people” and that only Denmark and Greenland can decide their future, rooted in international law and sovereignty principles.

Yet the crisis exposes Denmark’s uncomfortable reality: it is rallying allies to protect a territory whose population overwhelmingly desires independence, formalized since greater autonomy in 1979 and explicitly recognized in a 2009 agreement. All Greenlandic political parties support eventual separation, though they differ on timing and method. Greenland’s largest opposition party, Naleraq, has even called for direct negotiations with Washington, bypassing Copenhagen.

For the EU, the situation creates a complex challenge. European allies have expressed strong support for Denmark, with France reportedly working on contingency plans if the U.S. moves aggressively. EU Council President Antonio Costa emphasized full backing for Greenland and Denmark, rejecting any violations of international law. This solidarity stems not only from alliance loyalty but also from fears that yielding to territorial demands could embolden other powers and undermine the post-1945 world order.

However, the bloc’s position is complicated by Greenland’s long-term trajectory toward independence. Denmark provides substantial annual subsidies (around $610 million in block grants, plus defence and other costs totalling nearly $1 billion) to a stagnant economy, while announcing a major 42 billion Danish crowns ($6.54 billion) Arctic defence package last year in response to U.S. criticism over inadequate protection.

Experts note Denmark risks exhausting diplomatic capital to safeguard a territory that may soon depart. Political science professor Mikkel Vedby Rasmussen observed that Copenhagen could spend heavily “only to watch it walk away afterwards.” Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has warned that any U.S. attack on a NATO member like Denmark would shatter the alliance.

The upcoming meeting between U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Danish/Greenlandic counterparts underscores the stakes. While European unity holds firm against external coercion, the EU must navigate supporting a member state whose hold on Greenland is loosening, all amid heightened Arctic tensions involving Russia and China.

For now, the Trump administration says all options are on the table, including buying the territory or taking it by force.

With Reuters.

Caption: The Greenlandic flag Erfalasorput flies on the Tivoli Castle in Tivoli in Copenhagen, Denmark, 8 January 2026. In a written statement to Ritzau, Tivoli’s director Susanne Moerch Koch says that the gesture ‘is an expression of thoughtfulness in a time that is experienced as difficult for many’, Tivoli wishes to show that we are thinking of Greenland and stand by the community that has been built over many years’, it states EPA/Ida Marie Odgaard

Updated: January 10, 2026 - 13:51

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